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A Bird's Eye View Blog

Fireside Charts 12.17.18

We start today's blog post with PMI indicators for US services and manufacturing for December. There is certainly some moderation (from the recent highs) in business activity. The U.S. dollar has...

Fireside Charts 12.14.18

Across the globe, corporate revenues have declined in the last few weeks. This is not positive news, considering almost half of the S&P 500 Index® revenue comes from overseas. Recent GDP revisions...

Fireside Charts 12.12.18

Today's Fireside Chart's includes updates on Germany's GDP and bond yields; the U.S. yield curve, the inversion and the increasing statistical probability of a recession; a snapshot of recent...

Fireside Charts 12.10.18

With the holiday season upon us, will a boost in retail sales help improve S&P 500 performance? The DOW Transportation Average is giving off bearish signals. Oil has cascaded down over 40% in last...

Fireside Charts 12.7.18

We kick off our Friday chart blog with a look at the historical correlation between yield curve inversions and recessions. What does this mean for the U.S. economy, whose PMI remains strong...

Fireside Charts 12.5.18

The markets are closed today in honor of the passing of President George H.W. Bush. We remember his legacy and service on this national day of mourning. On Monday, the yield curve inverted...

Fireside Charts 12.3.18

The leading economic indicator for Europe shows the scale of the significant drawdowns that have preceded recessions. The decline in Europe's trade surplus has been the sharpest in...

Fireside Charts 11.30.18

We begin the blog today with some good news for Japan. However, expectations point to further weakness in the Japanese manufacturing sector. In the United States, corporate America is bringing...

Fireside Charts 11.28.18

2019 and 2020 earnings projections are much lower than this year, which gives us pause. A reminder on why diversification does not always help in periods of market failure. China has gone cold...

Fireside Charts 11.26.18

Looking forward to the next twelve months, fund managers expect global corporate margins to deteriorate. More Americans have been taking out equity as they refinance their homes, but these...