Stocks closed lower yesterday after a record-setting blow to U.S. GDP revealed the extent of the virus’s economic impact, the contraction was the sharpest in modern U.S. history. Annualized figures (re: the oft-quoted 32.9%) can be deceptive during periods of swift change though, and growth is expected in Q3

Consumer confidence has dipped as congress continues to hammer out the details of the next stimulus package amid a stalled recovery. The tech giants continue to outperform even while the heads of Amazon, Apple, Google, and Facebook sit together before Congress today on antitrust allegations.

There is a lot of news coming this week including key earnings announcements, the FOMC meeting and today’s reveal of the Republican’s proposed stimulus plan. Stay tuned for more on those topics but today, we are seeing a continued surge in Gold’s price as the dollar sits at its weakest level since January. Could fears of stagflation be contributing?

Equities have sunk on growing political tension with China and new, depressing Covid-19 milestones—the U.S. passed 4 million cases yesterday as global cases climb at nearly 300,000/day—and look to have lowered their expectations for a swift economic recovery.

American unemployment remains at historic highs as debate wages on about the contents of the next stimulus bill, and the $600 benefit boost remains a sticking point. Is the additional payment a disincentive to return to work or a major factor in our relative success at staving off economic collapse—or is it both?

Though not perfect and certainly not without several threats still looming in the background, the U.S. has seen a surprisingly strong economic recovery in the months since the onset of the Covid-19 crisis. Retail sales have fully rebounded, the housing market is booming, and household income is actually higher now than it was back in March.

The declines in first-time unemployment claims have stalled, and in fact jumped by over 100,000 last week to top 1.5 million on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. With the extended PPP deadline looming at August 8th and the additional $600 boost to unemployment benefits set to expire this month, a growing contingent of Americans—and the American economy as a whole—could soon be in for a shock.

Earnings season is upon us and no one is quite sure what we’re in for. Discord between analysts over earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates have soared, thanks in large part to a swath of companies pulling corporate guidance as economic uncertainty swelled in the face of the Covid-19 crisis.

Tech has been seemingly unstoppable, even in the midst of a global pandemic, with both the S&P 500® Index’s Information Technology sector and the tech-heavy Nasdaq up ~18% year-to-date. In fact, the sector is up nearly 60% from its March lows and the Nasdaq closed out last week with three consecutive all-time highs.

While the economic recovery thus far hasn’t been insubstantial, it’s far from the V many were hoping for and appears to be losing momentum heading into Q3. Unemployment remains stubbornly high as initial claims top 1 million for the 16th straight week and continuing claims hit a new record.