ECONOMICS & INVESTING
3Q24 Commentary: As the Fed Provides a Clearer Fiscal Policy Roadmap, Our Models Signal for Less Risk
Q3 2024 saw a broad rally driven by small-cap, value stocks, and international markets as central banks cut rates. Looking ahead, caution is shifting focus to selective opportunities in sectors like financials, healthcare, and industrials.
With the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting rates, what is the outlook for future mortgage rates?
Why are mortgage rates still stubbornly high despite the Fed easing rates? Understand the potential trajectory of future mortgage rates and explore key factors like housing demand, mortgage rate spreads, and market trends impacting rate movements.
What Is the Yield Curve Telling Us?
The longest continuous yield curve inversion has finally come to an end. Or has it? The answer depends on how you measure it. That’s just one of my gripes with the yield curve inversion as an economic indicator…
How to Allocate Based on Possible Fed Decision
How can you position your portfolios in preparation for the possible outcomes of the upcoming Fed Decision? There seems to be consensus that the Federal Open Market Committee (the Fed) will pursue one of three leading options…
Growth to Value: From One Extreme to Another
After a decade of tech dominance, we’re seeing a major rotation in the market. Large-cap growth stocks, led by giants like Microsoft, have recently been overshadowed as money flows into small-cap value stocks. Over just two weeks following the…
Five Principles for Responsible Use of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Technologies in Asset Management
As the public becomes more informed about artificial intelligence and machine learning, here are our five core principles of responsible use of Artificial Intelligence as it specifically relates to making investment decisions.
2Q24 Market & Strategy Review: Betting on Broadening
By many measures market indices sit at extremes. Concentration and the outperformance of growth stocks are both at historic highs—reminiscent of the tech bubble. While the valuations of the largest companies have expand…
Inflation Jitters: A Deeper Look
Have Inflation concerns returned? We’ve long been prepared to move on from the over analysis of monthly inflation data, confident the majority of inflation would prove transitory, leaving investors to focus on economic growth…
Investors Need Not Fear the Traditional Diversified Portfolio – A Historical Perspective
For much of 2023, investors were leery of holding traditional risk assets given the attractive prospects of riskless cash yielding over 5%, and the poor trailing performance of nearly all cash-flowing assets. While the recent decline in rates…
The “Long and Lagged” effects of Interest Rates: Corporate Interest Rate “Lock-in”
For the past few quarters, our positive firm view on the homebuilding sector has been in large part due to the idea of “interest rate lock-in” for existing homebuyers. Put simply, homeowner’s existing mortgages…