FIRESIDE CHARTS

Inflation Takes Off (In Some Sectors), Earnings Season Rolls On, U.S. Crude Oil Production Sets Record High

Inflation Takes Off (In Some Sectors), Earnings Season Rolls On, U.S. Crude Oil Production Sets Record High

“Fed officials should go to the doctor if they think there is no inflation in the economy,” say Chris Rupkey, chief economist at MUFG in New York. Medical care, education, and housing costs are soaring—and significantly outpacing the rest of the market. Healthcare earnings surprised in more than one way in Q3 (see the details in the charts below)… could such aggressive pricing increases be to thank?

A Closer Look at Last Week’s GDP and Jobs Reports

A Closer Look at Last Week’s GDP and Jobs Reports

The S&P closed at another all-time high on Friday (that’s three new records set in a single week, by the way), thanks in large part to last week’s surprise GDP and jobs reports. Today, we take a closer look at the details

GDP, Earnings, Jobs, and Other Measures Exceeding Expectations

GDP, Earnings, Jobs, and Other Measures Exceeding Expectations

Happy Friday, Fireside Charts readers! We hope you all had a happy and safe Halloween, with plenty of candy to show for your trick-or-treating efforts. Now let’s shake off the sugar comas and take a look at the data: Wednesday’s rate cut wasn’t much of a surprise, so most of the chatter around the announcement has focused on the implication that the committee may be eyeing the pause button… and market expectations for a fourth cut this year adjusted accordingly.

A Closer Look at Last Week’s GDP and Jobs Reports

U.S. Deficit Soars 26% to 7-year High, Fed Expansion Tops $199 Billion, and USD Reverses Negative Trend

Warning: the latest federal deficit figure may leave you with sticker shock. The deficit surged 26% in fiscal 2019 to hit $984 billion, the highest point since we topped $1 trillion in 2012. This figure, in addition to the earnings that continue to roll in (heavyweights reporting this week include Alphabet, Facebook and Apple), will likely be a topic of conversation when the Fed kicks off their October meeting tomorrow.

2020 Earnings Estimates Suffer Sharpest Drop Since January, Positive News for the Housing Market, and Has U.S. Unemployment Bottomed?

2020 Earnings Estimates Suffer Sharpest Drop Since January, Positive News for the Housing Market, and Has U.S. Unemployment Bottomed?

Today’s another jam-packed day for earnings in a season that’s been largely mixed so far; headline names include Microsoft, Ford, Boeing, and Catepillar, among many others. We’re keeping our fingers crossed for good news, as the analyst outlook for 2020 seems to be increasingly weak; last week saw the steepest downward revision in nearly a year.

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