TIMELY PM UPDATES
3Q24 Commentary: As the Fed Provides a Clearer Fiscal Policy Roadmap, Our Models Signal for Less Risk
Q3 2024 saw a broad rally driven by small-cap, value stocks, and international markets as central banks cut rates. Looking ahead, caution is shifting focus to selective opportunities in sectors like financials, healthcare, and industrials.
With the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting rates, what is the outlook for future mortgage rates?
Why are mortgage rates still stubbornly high despite the Fed easing rates? Understand the potential trajectory of future mortgage rates and explore key factors like housing demand, mortgage rate spreads, and market trends impacting rate movements.
What Is the Yield Curve Telling Us?
The longest continuous yield curve inversion has finally come to an end. Or has it? The answer depends on how you measure it. That’s just one of my gripes with the yield curve inversion as an economic indicator…
How to Allocate Based on Possible Fed Decision
How can you position your portfolios in preparation for the possible outcomes of the upcoming Fed Decision? There seems to be consensus that the Federal Open Market Committee (the Fed) will pursue one of three leading options…
Growth to Value: From One Extreme to Another
After a decade of tech dominance, we’re seeing a major rotation in the market. Large-cap growth stocks, led by giants like Microsoft, have recently been overshadowed as money flows into small-cap value stocks. Over just two weeks following the…
VIDEO: Short-term reaction or a longer-term trend change?
Over the last decade, the largest tech companies have consistently and significantly outperformed the rest of the market. Last week, seemingly catalyzed by the July 8th CPI report, we saw a complete unwind of the trade…
2Q24 Market & Strategy Review: Betting on Broadening
By many measures market indices sit at extremes. Concentration and the outperformance of growth stocks are both at historic highs—reminiscent of the tech bubble. While the valuations of the largest companies have expand…
1Q24 Review – Decathlon Core Holdings Outperformed in a Strong Market, while a New Portfolio Looks to Capitalize on Changing Market Dynamics
The Decathlon strategies had an excellent quarter with all asset allocation models beating their asset mixture benchmarks (on a net and gross basis). This was achieved despite below neutral equity exposure for most of the quarter. Once again…
4Q23 Review and Outlook – Moving Beyond Inflation: narrow winners drove a strong market in 2023 but can the economy deliver?
We expect the best opportunities of 2024 to be outside of the largest U.S. companies. This could bode well for active management as it would mean more securities that outperform passive indices rather than less. We are well positioned…
AI and the SEC: 6 Steps to Get Ahead of the AI Rule
Artificial Intelligence as an investment concept has exploded this year with the increasing commercialization of products like Chat GPT and Dall-E. As companies and consumers have adapted the new technologies, the SEC is…