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Manufacturing Backed Up, Breaking Down the S&P, and Remember the Trade War?

Manufacturing Backed Up, Breaking Down the S&P, and Remember the Trade War?

The NY Fed’s Manufacturing Index backed up a bit in August after a near perfect v-shaped comeback while recovery in other advanced economies of the world also seems to have plateaued. Large-caps continue to outperform mid- and small-caps although that outperformance can almost entirely be attributed to select subset of companies and sectors.

An Unemployment Milestone, a Look at Inflation, and Bankruptcies Hit a 10-year High

An Unemployment Milestone, a Look at Inflation, and Bankruptcies Hit a 10-year High

While the U. S. unemployment situation is still dire, we hit a milestone this week: for the first time since mid-March, first-time claims for state unemployment insurance fell below one million. U.S. consumer prices have risen more than projected though as states continue to ease lockdown restrictions, and it has some concerned about inflation…

The U.S. Struggles to Make Rent, and is EM Ready to Run?

The U.S. Struggles to Make Rent, and is EM Ready to Run?

There’s a lot going on in D.C these days, but an effective response on housing—or a cross-party compromise on the next round of stimulus funding—doesn’t appear to be one of them. Stimulus talks have reached a stalemate as the share of the population unable to meet housing costs soars.

Some Perspective on GDP, Record Earnings Beats, and Real Rates Continue to Sink

Some Perspective on GDP, Record Earnings Beats, and Real Rates Continue to Sink

The 32.9% annualized hit to U.S. GDP may have cast a shadow over the end of last week, but a comparison to the Eurozone shows that we were relatively successful in blunting the economic damage. Government debt is soaring though and is set to climb higher when Congress comes to an agreement on the next round of stimulus funding…

The Record-Setting GDP Hit, Shaky Earnings Estimates, and Big Tech Gets Bigger

The Record-Setting GDP Hit, Shaky Earnings Estimates, and Big Tech Gets Bigger

Stocks closed lower yesterday after a record-setting blow to U.S. GDP revealed the extent of the virus’s economic impact, the contraction was the sharpest in modern U.S. history. Annualized figures (re: the oft-quoted 32.9%) can be deceptive during periods of swift change though, and growth is expected in Q3