TIMELY MARKET UPDATES
S&P 500 Margins Hit Record High, Crypto’s Wild Week, and the Hunt for Dividend
Major U.S. indices broke a three-day losing streak yesterday, sparking hope that stocks could close a volatile week on a positive note—and almost certainly a sigh of relief from highly-leveraged…
Persistent Employment Concerns, the Path Ahead After a Bear Market, and Fears for the Novice Investor
Employment remains a persistent problem in the U.S., forming a—to bring back a 2020 buzzword—checkmark recovery as continuing unemployment claims remain stubbornly elevated. As 21 states move to end…
Consumer Sentiment Weakens, New Highs and Consolidations, and is a Pattern Emerging in UST Yields?
Activity—and prices—are on the rise in the industries most battered by the pandemic, and it helped propel overall CPI growth far past expectations in April. Everything is relative though; core CPI…
Perspective on CPI Growth, Bull Runs, and a Reminder that Everything is Relative
Activity—and prices—are on the rise in the industries most battered by the pandemic, and it helped propel overall CPI growth far past expectations in April. Everything is relative though; core CPI…
Earnings Beats Near Record Highs, the Financial Sector’s Long Recovery, and is Equal-Weight Construction Poised for a Comeback?
The breadth of earnings beats in Q1 is near record highs, but how much of that achievement is the product of a pandemic-induced low bar? Strong performance from banks was a large contributor to…
Last Week’s Equity Surge, Bond Vulnerability, and a Bleak Outlook for the 60/40 Portfolio
We saw new all-time highs permeate the equity markets last week with all market caps and most sectors participating in the rally. As noted in Friday’s Fireside Charts, Commodities climbed as well…
A Dour Jobs Report, the Service Sector Recovery, and a Commodities Check In
Though employment growth fell short of estimates, good news remains: Jobless claims fell below 500,000 for the first time since the onset of the pandemic last week and last month layoffs fell to…
Supply-Chain Bottlenecks, How Technology’s Reshaped the Markets, and Growing Global Opportunities
Supply-chain pressures contributed to a surprise pullback in the ISM Manufacturing PMI last month as the cost of goods sold hits a decade+ high and customer inventories drop to a new historic low…
Dry Powder Accumulates, Indices Consolidate Gains, and Real Yields Turn Negative Across the Curve
Stimulus checks sent both personal incomes and personal savings soaring in March after a quarter of already significant savings growth. How will the markets react if and when so much dry powder…
GDP Jumps 6.4% in Q1, Double-Digit Home Price Appreciation, and Earnings Beats Hit New Record
U.S. GDP climbed by 6.4% in Q1, inching the economy closer to full recovery. While spending on services is finally accelerating—it grew 4.6% over the quarter—spending on goods remains dominant and…