TIMELY MARKET UPDATES

Equities Rise As Unemployment Hits New Highs… What’s Driving the Rally?

Equities Rise As Unemployment Hits New Highs… What’s Driving the Rally?

The U.S. unemployment rate clocked in at a disastrous 14.7% on Friday, hitting its highest point since the Depression. If that wasn’t bad enough, the report shows that the U.S. lost more than twice as many jobs as we did during the Great Recession… in approximately 1/12 of the time.

Unemployment, Unbothered Equities, and the Uncertain Path Forward

Unemployment, Unbothered Equities, and the Uncertain Path Forward

It’s jobs report day and we hate to break it to you, but the situation is… grim. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its monthly Employment Situation Summary this morning and highlights include 20.5 million jobs lost in April, the highest unemployment rate since the Great Depression (14.7%), and a “real” unemployment rate (which includes the underemployed and workers not actively seeking jobs) of 22.8%.

Bond ETF’s Price Divergence From NAV: How Do We Tell Which Was “Right”?

Bond ETF’s Price Divergence From NAV: How Do We Tell Which Was “Right”?

“What happened to fixed income ETFs in the March sell-off?” So far, we’ve kept quiet on the subject. Not due to a lack of opinions, but because we felt we didn’t have much to add to the discussion. Our many fund sponsor and trading partners (SSGA, iShares, Invesco, and Jane Street to name a few) have done a fantastic job of providing detailed analyses on the subject.

Grim Forecasts, the Equity Rally, and Reignited Tensions with China

Grim Forecasts, the Equity Rally, and Reignited Tensions with China

Halfway into an earnings season for the history books and analysts—much like the rest of the world—are still struggling to reach a consensus on what the future holds. The dispersion of estimates for S&P 500® Index companies has spiked to levels not seen since the financial crisis as our “new normal” has meant massive losses for some and gains for others.

Rent’s Due, the ‘Shale Death Zone’, and a Warning Signal from the Bond Market

Rent’s Due, the ‘Shale Death Zone’, and a Warning Signal from the Bond Market

If this month’s rent or mortgage payment hurt a little more than usual, you aren’t alone. Small businesses are struggling to keep up with expenses following the first full month since “social distancing” entered the lexicon. Only 5% of businesses surveyed made their rent payments in full and the projections of the economic impact of such a change are already in the billions of dollars.

Unemployment, Unbothered Equities, and the Uncertain Path Forward

The GDP Hit, Unemployment, and a Look Ahead

U.S. GDP fell at a 4.8% annual rate in Q1, posting its first quarterly drop in over half a decade and it’s worst quarterly drop since the financial crisis. Consumer spending, the main (re: ~70%) contributor to GDP, was the primary culprit after suffering its worst nosedive since 1980, and plunging business investment was the runner up.