FIRESIDE CHARTS

Volmageddon, Rebounding Markets, AI Investment

Volmageddon, Rebounding Markets, AI Investment

Volmageddon isn’t what it used to be. Perhaps increased interest in the index has made the VIX an example of Goodhart’s Law—when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure. Equities…

Bank of Japan, the Sahm Rule, Earnings Season

Bank of Japan, the Sahm Rule, Earnings Season

On Sunday night the Bank of Japan (BOJ) unexpectedly raised interest rates, adding fuel to the fire in already skittish equity markets. Investors were on edge after the prior week’s payroll report…

The Struggling Seven, Market Rotation, the Olympics

The Struggling Seven, Market Rotation, the Olympics

After a remarkable stretch of outperformance, the magnificent seven are finally taking a break. Recent selling pressure has been concentrated in the largest stocks, dragging the broad indices lower…

Price Declines, Rising Unemployment, Robust Travel

Price Declines, Rising Unemployment, Robust Travel

A surprise decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) set off a massive rotation in the equity markets. Only time will tell whether this is a change in trend or a repositioning. The economy clearly isn’t…

Momentum, Energy, India

Momentum, Energy, India

Performance of the technology sector vs the broad market is reaching extremes, as investors continue to pile into the momentum trade. Recent price action has been bizarre, with the S&P 500 price…

Jobs, Concentration, Renewable Energy

Jobs, Concentration, Renewable Energy

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls smashed expectations again but there are signs below the surface that the labor market is coming back into balance. A balanced labor market with less employee turnover may allow…

Stock Buybacks, Home Equity, Meme Stocks

Stock Buybacks, Home Equity, Meme Stocks

Recent economic data has surprised to the downside, strengthening the case for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. So far, markets are looking through the near-term weakness as companies’ profit…

Earnings, Consumer Spending, China

Earnings, Consumer Spending, China

Earnings season is well underway, and thus far, the data has exceeded expectations. This may be partially explained by an unexpected surge in consumer spending in March, following a weak start to the…

Wage Growth, Market Breadth, Automation

Wage Growth, Market Breadth, Automation

Slowing wage growth and sticky inflation could become a problem for U.S. consumers. Those at the lower end of the income spectrum are already struggling. As interest rates creep back towards the highs…